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Housing: Why the American Dream Looks So Different Today

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  • Housing: Why the American Dream Looks So Different Today

    The Census Bureau collects a wealth of data about Americans, besides just trying to count us.
    They also collect facts about how we live, including the structures we live in.

    These extensive data sets, available online, give us a glimpse into the changing nature of housing - and the American Dream of owning a home. The picture the data paints is of a housing market still trying to shake off the effects of massive overbuilding in the years prior to 2006. The numbers also show that the homes being built today look different than they did just a few years ago, and are being built from a wider variety of materials.

    While housing industry cheerleaders like the National Association of Realtors want to paint a happy face on the housing recovery, the data show the number of new single family building permits barely clawing their way back from pitch black.

    Looking at the historical trend and considering the new, tighter lending standards, it's reasonable to question whether the housing market will ever get back to the go-go days of the early 2000s, even if we collectively thought that was a good idea.

    Houses also look different and are built differently. Anyone who grew up in a house with a real basement might be surprised to learn those are a vanishing component of home construction. Homes with full or partial basements now account for a lower percentage of homes than in the 70s; slabs and footers have taken over most new construction.

    But basement space didn't simply disappear, it just moved upstairs. Homes are bigger now, with the median square footage increasing by nearly 1,000 square feet since 1973. This is likely a hangover from the McMansion era of the early 2000s, when 4,000 and 5,00 square foot homes were all the rage. I started wondering if the McMansion trend had jumped the shark after showing a 5,700 square foot home that included a movie theater and private chapel. It's an interesting contrast with the other end of the housing spectrum, attracting people to houses that are just over 220 square feet.

    Construction has also started favoring two-storey homes, which started edging out single storey homes in the early 1990s. Split levels, which reached their peak of popularity in the late 1970s, have all but disappeared from the market. Bigger and taller houses mean more bedrooms and more bathrooms.
    Depending somewhat on the location, modern homes are still more likely to be heated by a warm air furnace; but heat pumps are now accounting for a larger percentage of home heating. It's also hard to find a home built without central air conditioning, compared to 1973 when just 51% of homes had air conditioning.

    Since homes are bigger, it appears more emphasis is being placed on spending time indoors, as the number of homes with outdoor features like patios and decks has dropped dramatically. More likely builders are trying to hold down costs, and are leaving it up to the homeowners to decide what type of outdoor features best suit their lifestyle.

    The census data constitute a treasure trove for anyone interested in the changing nature of housing and the real estate market. The picture they paint is that the American dream still includes owning a home, but the tapestry of that dream is getting frayed around edges, as more people consider alternate housing strategies. Those building new homes today are making different selections in terms of size, vertical dimensions, and building materials. If there's one thing that stands out in the data, its the certainty that it's no longer your dad's housing market out there.




    -Redtea
    Independent News for the Right-Minded American



    redteanews

  • #2
    Great info and it folds in to a couple of recent threads that attempted to compare housing costs today as a % of income with costs a few decades ago. I stated that you simply can't make comparisons like that because the market has changed so dramatically. Houses have changed. They are far bigger and have far more amenities even though average family size is smaller. It's no wonder that many people feel homes are too expensive. They are looking at totally different homes than their parents or grandparents owned.

    I grew up in a Philadelphia rowhome. Three bedrooms. One full bathroom. One toilet in the basement (no sink, just a toilet). There were 4 of us and many of my friends and neighbors in identical homes had 5 or even 6 living there. No central air, just a few window units. One car garage that wasn't large enough for a car unless it was a small one.

    That bears little resemblance to the homes built in the past couple of decades (that house was built in the early 50s).
    Steve

    * Despite the high cost of living, it remains very popular.
    * Why should I pay for my daughter's education when she already knows everything?
    * There are no shortcuts to anywhere worth going.

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    • #3
      Anything more than 15 year payment plan should be outlawed. It plunges Americans into almost a lifetime of debt. If they really want to help Americans, the law should be working a way to decrease the years and get them out of debt faster - not into debt longer. Decreasing the interest rate to 3% but starting an American again to a new 30 year loan is an American nightmare.
      Kill the debt, before it kills you!

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by Randomsaver View Post
        Anything more than 15 year payment plan should be outlawed. It plunges Americans into almost a lifetime of debt. If they really want to help Americans, the law should be working a way to decrease the years and get them out of debt faster - not into debt longer. Decreasing the interest rate to 3% but starting an American again to a new 30 year loan is an American nightmare.
        If this keeps up USA will be forced to take loan from China But to tell the truth, almost every country in UE except maybe France, England and, Germany are indebted. Just take a look at Italy, Greece or Spain. Loaning its not only Americans problem.

        Most families take loans for 30 years to build a house.

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        • #5
          Originally posted by Randomsaver View Post
          Anything more than 15 year payment plan should be outlawed. It plunges Americans into almost a lifetime of debt.
          I'm not sure I agree. I'd have to think about that.

          I think the bigger problem is the lending guidelines that allow people to borrow far too much to get a home. Start enforcing a 20% down payment. Start enforcing that the monthly PITI can't exceed 28% (or even 25%) of income. Doing those two things would have eliminated so much of the housing mess. Doing those things would also keep a lid on a bubble in prices because sellers can only charge what buyers can afford to pay.
          Steve

          * Despite the high cost of living, it remains very popular.
          * Why should I pay for my daughter's education when she already knows everything?
          * There are no shortcuts to anywhere worth going.

          Comment


          • #6
            How do you keep lending people money with multiple homes just because they have renters? I ask because my cousin bought a house $700k with her boyfriend and they have two other homes they are each renting out. Total cost of homes? $1.2M Seriously I know what my cousin makes and she's not making even close to 6 figures. Together? Maybe $150k if they are lucky. Even my aunt her mom said it was a bad financial decision. So bad the first house they bid on they weren't approved for the loan with good credit because it was too expensive. I'm pretty sure $700k is still too much but the bank said "okay" thumbs up!

            How do banks not expect problems when do they things like this?
            LivingAlmostLarge Blog

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            • #7
              Originally posted by LivingAlmostLarge View Post
              How do you keep lending people money with multiple homes just because they have renters?
              I always wonder the same thing. The lenders just seem to throw common sense out the window. I see stories of people who own 2 or 3 or 5 rental properties and have mortgages on all of them plus their personal residence. There is no way they're combined payments are less than 28% of income. I guess it all works great on paper until reality strikes and a place is vacant for a few months or a property needs a major repair.
              Steve

              * Despite the high cost of living, it remains very popular.
              * Why should I pay for my daughter's education when she already knows everything?
              * There are no shortcuts to anywhere worth going.

              Comment


              • #8
                Considering that the average American moves every 5-7 years, that means they are paying 80%-90% interest ALL the time on their 30 year mortgage. Even the 15 year mortgage people get killed if they move every 5 years.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Housing Design

                  Is it just me or are modern houses architecturally inferior to houses built, say, in the 20s? They may or may not be engineered better and use more modern materials, but stylistically I just don't think they can compare. I've heard it said that people just can't afford houses like that any more, but surely labor was not really that much cheaper in the 20s than now? Income inequality isn't exactly a new thing.

                  And regarding indoor/outdoor spaces, it saddens me how few people even appreciate good outdoor spaces. I've seen many houses in urban areas where the occupant simply paved the back yard in concrete for easy management.

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                  • #10
                    One of the major changes was revolving credit. People seem to view it as increased income. The standard is whether they can manage the minimum payment. No one pays attention to how interest rates of 12% - 22% affects the sum borrowed on CCs.

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                    • #11
                      Most modern homes are slapped together with cheap materials that look high-end, but are just chintzy. For example, a neighborhood went up in my area, and some of the homes have decorative window "toppings" that resemble elaborate crown molding, but are just mass produced plastic. Some of the entry doors look like wood, but are metal with some sort of plastic sheeting. So they scream "luxury!" when seen from the road, but they are all fake.

                      Some people like this kind of stuff, because it signals success. After all, buying a Used House is relegated to those who have to settle for something inferior. At least the vibe I get.

                      Personally, I'd love to have an older home that has been updated for energy conservation, with modern appliances and a big kitchen. We love to cook, and my dream has always been to have a gourmet kitchen with a big range and lots of space for preparation. Ironically, this would probably end up being more expensive that a New House, but it is money that would be spent on function instead of deception.

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                      • #12
                        Originally posted by JoeP View Post
                        cheap materials that look high-end, but are just chintzy.
                        window "toppings" that resemble elaborate crown molding, but are just mass produced plastic.
                        entry doors look like wood, but are metal with some sort of plastic sheeting. So they scream "luxury!" when seen from the road, but they are all fake.

                        Personally, I'd love to have an older home that has been updated for energy conservation
                        I find a bit of irony in your comments, Joe. Some of that "fake" stuff is the very stuff that represents a home being "updated for energy conservation", using new materials that are maintenance-free and high efficiency that still look like traditional materials.
                        Steve

                        * Despite the high cost of living, it remains very popular.
                        * Why should I pay for my daughter's education when she already knows everything?
                        * There are no shortcuts to anywhere worth going.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by disneysteve View Post
                          I find a bit of irony in your comments, Joe. Some of that "fake" stuff is the very stuff that represents a home being "updated for energy conservation", using new materials that are maintenance-free and high efficiency that still look like traditional materials.
                          I can see that. What I was talking about was more along the lines of blowing in insulation where there was none, or replacing single pane wood windows with double pane wood windows (although vinyl could be an option for some), or replacing an uninsulated garage door with an insulated one.

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                          • #14
                            Nothing to necessarily add, just wanted to say brilliant post, well written and interesting.

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