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Stepping out of the Market, Where to Hold Cash?

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  • Stepping out of the Market, Where to Hold Cash?

    For the last 2 years we have been living with the in laws. We finally made it work with my husband's employment to sell our house and get a remote primary address. We plan to stay another year or two with the in laws before getting our own place, but are very concerned about what to do with our money to buy the next house.

    With a 10% inflation rate, the approximately $300k we get from the sale of our free and clear house will have to be $363k in 2 years to be worth the same value.
    $423,403, if we're talking in terms of the 18.8% real estate increase we had last year.

    Just by having our money out of the market, we could loose a ton in real terms.

    I just want to be able to buy a decent house for my family again.


    Here's the options I've looked at:
    Buy a house now, even if we won't live in it for a couple years. This is perfect in the idea of preserving real estate buying power. I just don't feel ready yet because I don't know if my husband's health will stabilize and how much I should be taking on in projects. I also don't like the high price & increasing interest rates combination.

    Side Note: We are also going back and forth between buying my in law's out of their house (with all of our money, which is a large discount) and letting them live there with us until they pass in 15-20 years, or buying something that isn't everything we want (dry farmland, personal well, huge workshop, low energy...), but we avoid potential struggles in maintaining sovereignty of our own family while living with the in laws in what used to be their house. They've already built themselves their own mother-in-law suite, so we wouldn't have to share kitchens, but we would have a shared living room.

    Put it in precious metals. I like that this will likely preserve real estate purchasing power. It could increase purchasing power if the market drops, or decrease in purchasing power if the market just keeps going. It's just a lot of eggs in one basket, which makes me pretty nervous.

    What am I not considering? Because I know there's more decent ideas.
    -Milly
    Personal Finance Blogger, Mechanical Engineer, and Mother of 3 Toddlers
    milly.savingadvice.com

  • #2
    What about I-Bonds?
    james.c.hendrickson@gmail.com
    202.468.6043

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    • #3
      Originally posted by james.hendrickson View Post
      What about I-Bonds?
      They have a five year hold time rule so you want to be familiar with that. Also only 10k per person per year.

      You don’t want to take risk with this money but don’t expect any real kind of return.

      you need a solid game plan for your next housing move.

      until then. Go to bogleheads and read about windfalls.

      put the money in FDIC insured account for now. Should be able to get 1% interest.

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      • #4
        Personally, I'd spread it around to mitigate principle risks, while giving it at least a viable chance of roughly keeping up with inflation.

        Assuming your $300k in net proceeds from the sale, my plan would be:
        - $20k in I-Bonds. The early-withdrawal penalty is only 3 months' interest, so only ~$600 (at current 9% rates). I'd take that.
        - $150k in a good, steady balanced mutual fund
        - $100k in a stock dividend-focused mutual fund
        - $30k in precious metals, if you really like that idea... But no more than 10% of it.

        That probably wouldn't totally match inflation, but it would spread your risk around to ensure you didn't lose your shirt if one of them doesn't keep up.

        ETA: Another thought after posting.... You want to keep it in real estate? Look for a good REIT or three, putting maybe $100k in there (reducing balanced fund & dividend funds to $75k each). REIT share prices have been hurting this year, but they've still out-performed the S&P 500. And the share price is only a part of the REIT -- they typically provide dividends between 8-12%. So even if share price doesn't increase much over the next couple years, the dividends will help to keep your money moving with the real estate market.
        Last edited by kork13; 07-13-2022, 05:10 PM.

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        • #5
          I wouldn't touch precious metals, but that's just me.

          I wouldn't buy a house if you are counting on it holding value or appreciating. I think we could be heading into a period where real estate prices will moderate or even fall for a while.

          If you're going to want this money in 2 years, I'd avoid the stock market with most or all of it. That's way too short a timeframe to ride out a prolonged downturn. I'd do 20K this year in I bonds (you can cash them out after 1 year with a penalty). I'd set aside another 20K to buy more in January. The rest I'd put in either Treasury bills or brokered CDs, whichever are paying more for the term you want.
          Steve

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