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Am I Crazy Or What? Rental Props Strategy

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  • Am I Crazy Or What? Rental Props Strategy

    This is something I've been seriously thinking about. I think I used pretty conservative numbers, and I like what they're telling me. I know I didn't include insurance on the rental props, but I also used a pretty low rental income from each...so I think it balances out. I know this may seem very simplistic in nature to some of you, but that's why I'm here...for knowledge! From what I've been reading this seems like a VERY knowledgeable crowd, so I look forward to any comments, ideas, advice, or questions. Thanks in advance!

    TARGET CAPITAL
    $530,000 TOTAL ($250,000/BULK LOAN + $150,000/HOUSE MORTGAGE, OR LINE OF CREDIT + $100,000 SAVINGS/FAMILY) + $30,000 ($15,000 ON BULK LOAN POINTS & $15,000 APPROX. FOR CLOSING COSTS ON ALL PROPERTIES PURCHASED SIMULTANEOUSLY) THIS SHOULD BE CONSIDERED A ONE TIME INITIAL INVESTMENT AND WILL NOT BE CALCULATED IN THE OVERALL FINANCIAL NUMBERS. HOWEVER, THIS CAN BE RECOVERED BY SIMPLY PAYING LESS THAN ESTIMATED FOR PROPERTIES.

    BULK LOAN
    $250,000 AT 12% FOR 5 YEARS EQUALS MONTHLY PAYMENT OF $5,561.11 ($66,733/YEAR) (60 TOTAL PAYMENTS = $333,666)

    MORTGAGE / LINE OF CREDIT (LOC)
    $150,000 AT 7% FOR 10 YEARS EQUALS A MONTHLY PAYMENT OF $1,741.63 ($20,899/YEAR) (120 PAYMENTS = $208,996) HOUSE IS RENTED AT $1,700 MONTHLY ($20,400/YEAR INCOME)

    PROPERTY INCOME
    8 PROPERTIES (APT/CONDO) BOUGHT AT $62,500 EACH, AT AN AVERAGE OF $800 RENT/MONTHLY = $6,400 MONTHLY INCOME ($76,800/YEAR) – MINUS $9,600 FOR YEARLY TAXES

    IN JUST 5 YEARS AFTER BULK LOAN IS PAYED OFF, $6,400 MONTHLY FROM PROPERTIES EQUALS $76,800 YEARLY INCOME. BALANCE OF MORTGAGE/LOC AFTER 5 YEARS = $104,498

    *** IF/WHEN THE BULK LOAN CAN BE REFINANCED AFTER 1-3 YEARS OF ON TIME PAYMENTS, AT 6-7% WITH ANOTHER LENDER, THEN THE GAINS & TIMELINE SHIFT SIGNIFICANTLY IN OUR FAVOR. ***

    TOTALS ON YEARLY BASIS


    $76,800 - PROP’S INCOME
    $20,400 - HOUSE RENT INCOME
    $97,200 - MONEY IN


    $66,733 - BULK LOAN PAYMENT
    $20,899 – MORTGAGE/LOC PAYMENT
    $9,600 - YEARLY TAXES
    $97,234 - MONEY OUT
    Last edited by unloopme; 10-26-2011, 01:36 PM.

  • #2
    Are you making any allowance for repairs, maintenance, or lost rent due to vacancy or non-paying tenants? I don't see any.

    Will you be managing the properties yourself?

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    • #3
      Thanks for pointing those out!
      Repairs, maintenance fees, and property management would be covered by myself. I'm pretty handy, when it comes to repairs and such. I don't plan on getting into anything that requires too much work. I'll be able to cover the maintenance/hoa fees from my current salary, and my hours are relatively flexible so that I am available most of the time to handle any "surprises."

      Vacancies or non-paying renters are definitely a concern, but I plan to stay right on top of everything to minimize those losses. Borrowing a bit here and there to cover shouldn't be a big issue either...unless all 8 units or so go wrong somehow.

      Again, thanks for pointing these out and giving me more food for thought.
      Last edited by unloopme; 10-26-2011, 04:31 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        Double post.

        Comment


        • #5
          There are also costs for incorporation. Ideally, you want none of these properties in your name. Some go as far as putting every property as its own LLC. This greatly limits liability. But, you typically need an attorney to do this set up (depending on the state you live in).

          Thinking that you alone will be able to handle all repairs is really not a fair consideration of that risk. You need to allocate a % of the effective gross income that would go to repairs. 10% is common.

          Additionally, vacancy is going to happen. Assume 5% vacancy.

          Overall your assumptions feel far too rosy.

          There are good spreadsheets on the web for this type of calculation by the way.

          Comment


          • #6
            What's your opportunity cost of time and money? What income would you make doing some other job than landlord. What return could you get in the market or other lower labor investments?

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by Slug View Post
              There are also costs for incorporation. Ideally, you want none of these properties in your name. Some go as far as putting every property as its own LLC. This greatly limits liability. But, you typically need an attorney to do this set up (depending on the state you live in).

              Thinking that you alone will be able to handle all repairs is really not a fair consideration of that risk. You need to allocate a % of the effective gross income that would go to repairs. 10% is common.

              Additionally, vacancy is going to happen. Assume 5% vacancy.

              Overall your assumptions feel far too rosy.

              There are good spreadsheets on the web for this type of calculation by the way.
              Thanks for the reply. Your right about my being overly optimistic. I do feel that I have good support via family & friends(financially and otherwise,) that I can make this work. Could you please provide a link to a spreadsheet that can help me gain a better understanding?

              Originally posted by jteezie View Post
              What's your opportunity cost of time and money? What income would you make doing some other job than landlord. What return could you get in the market or other lower labor investments?
              Thanks for the reply. Pardon my ignorance, but could you please "dumb down" your questions for me? I believe you asked what other salary I would have other than landlord. I plan to keep working, I have a pretty flexible schedule, so I honestly believe that I can both manage the properties and continue working.

              Comment


              • #8
                Paraphrasing your plan, as I understand it.

                You're going to borrow over $500,000 from banks and some more from family, to buy 8 condos that are unlikely to break even. Also, you're managing them yourself while working full time.

                I don't like it very much. Slow down. Buy one with your savings and give it a shot, before you leverage your whole life and your family's money. Markets aren't coming up any time soon, so there's no hurry.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Before making your final decision on condos purchase, I suggest you review the rights of tenants. Evicting a tenant requires specific protocols so there is significant opportunity to loose rental income.

                  As landlord will you reside in the complex? Be prepared for the most astonishing requests and unreasonable, middle of the night requests.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by unloopme View Post
                    TOTALS ON YEARLY BASIS

                    $97,200 - MONEY IN

                    $97,234 - MONEY OUT
                    Originally posted by unloopme View Post
                    Repairs, maintenance fees, and property management would be covered by myself. I'm pretty handy, when it comes to repairs and such. I don't plan on getting into anything that requires too much work.

                    Vacancies or non-paying renters are definitely a concern, but I plan to stay right on top of everything to minimize those losses. Borrowing a bit here and there to cover shouldn't be a big issue either...unless all 8 units or so go wrong somehow.
                    Well since you asked, yes, I do think this plan is crazy. You are looking to borrow hundreds of thousands of dollars to get into a money-losing situation. Note that I didn't use the word investment because an investment is something that you get into expecting to make money. By your own calculations, you will lose money on this deal. How? Your money in and money out estimate breaks even but doesn't include all expenses associated with the deal. Even if you do all repairs and maintenance yourself, which I doubt you can actually do on 8 properties, there is still a cost involved. You have to buy supplies, HVAC filters, cleaning products, replace damaged items, fix or replace broken appliances and leaky faucets, paint, carpet, etc. You also are basing your numbers on 100% occupancy which is not going to happen. If even one unit is vacant for a month, that pushes your losses even higher.

                    If you really want to get into real estate, buy one property and get your feet wet. See how hard it really is and how much of your time it consumes. And only do that if you are otherwise debt-free and can get into this deal without borrowing from family. That's a recipe for disaster by itself.
                    Steve

                    * Despite the high cost of living, it remains very popular.
                    * Why should I pay for my daughter's education when she already knows everything?
                    * There are no shortcuts to anywhere worth going.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Thank you all for the great advice...really, this is what I was hoping for when I posted.

                      I would actually be borrowing more like 300K from a bank, I have about 200K to invest on my own(mortgage/loc on the house I own(paid) and will rent, was from an earlier version of this idea.)

                      Also, yes. This would be a break even(best case) or most likely lose investment for the 5 years I outlined(less if I can refinance the high % loan after a 1-3 years.) But after those 5 tough years, the payoff would be substantial IMO.

                      I'm taking everyone's advice very seriously, and am starting to realize that perhaps I'm being overly ambitious. I just feel like this is the perfect time with the how the real estate market is to take a big swing for the fences. I'd hate to look back with regret that I didn't take full advantage of a big opportunity.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        I would not pursue this plan. I've read quite a bit on real estate investing, as it was something that I have always had an interest in. A lot of money can be made in multiunit properties and in buying multiple units at once, but that is an advanced stage of real estate investing, and certainly not a good strategy for a beginner. Start buy looking at either single unit properties or duplexes or triplexes. Start by adding to your real estate portfolio one property as a time. There is a learning curve and buying into 8 properties with a half a million in debt will send you screaming. Plan for taxes, vacancy, deadbeat tenants, and repairs. Also, plan on finding a good property management company. With you working full time, the last thing that you want to do is be fixing a furnace at 2am. I would start by looking into bank owned properties. Something that you can get into with a managable mortgage, so that you can generate positive cash flow right out of the gate. Start there, and see how it goes. If all is well after a year or so, then start to think about adding to your portfolio.
                        Brian

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by unloopme View Post
                          borrowing more like 300K from a bank

                          This would be a break even(best case) or most likely lose investment for the 5 years I outlined
                          There is not way this is even a break even deal so I'd get that thought out of your head. This is GOING to cost you money for AT LEAST 5 years. You are going to be losing money every single month for at least the next 5 years. Does that sound like a good investment to you? You may not make it to the 5-year mark if you can't keep up with the losses before then.
                          Steve

                          * Despite the high cost of living, it remains very popular.
                          * Why should I pay for my daughter's education when she already knows everything?
                          * There are no shortcuts to anywhere worth going.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            OP,
                            Where did you get the idea to pursue this? Have you talked to a bank at all? You may not even qualify for something like this. This looks to me like a deal that would have been written before the mortgage meltdown, but today, this may not get approved. It doesn't look like you have enough capital to make this happen.
                            Brian

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by disneysteve View Post
                              Does that sound like a good investment to you? You may not make it to the 5-year mark if you can't keep up with the losses before then.
                              No, that does not sound good. I appreciate your honesty and advice.

                              Originally posted by bjl584 View Post
                              OP,
                              Where did you get the idea to pursue this? Have you talked to a bank at all? You may not even qualify for something like this. This looks to me like a deal that would have been written before the mortgage meltdown, but today, this may not get approved. It doesn't look like you have enough capital to make this happen.
                              Yes, I spoke to a lender. It's a "bulk loan" program they are offering.
                              Looks something like this:
                              ·Rate: 12%
                              ·Penalty: 1 year (you can buy down the penalty)
                              ·Points: 6%
                              ·Closing: One closing for 5 or more units
                              ·Time: Generally closing within 30 days
                              ·Down Payment: 40% to 50%
                              ·Title: Corporate Title a must.



                              What about if I scale back a bit and get in for the 5 prop minimum, to qualify for this bulk loan? I would like to take advantage of this program, and should be able to handle the monetary requirements associated.
                              Last edited by unloopme; 10-28-2011, 09:02 AM.

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