Appreciation aside..you have to look at a few factors to see if it's a worthy investment and it gets pretty complicated.
Lets say we are talking about a 250k house@ 2500 squareft.
Lets assume you have either 0 Down or Pay in Cash.
If 0 Down, Is your house appreciating more than interest rate (3.8%) + property tax(usually 1.5%)/year? Inflation is NOT a factor because you have no money to be inflated. The number here is 13.25k/year (add another 3k due to PMI). Subtract 2k thanks to tax return benefits. (Total is 14.25k)
If you have 250k in hand, then it's a different problem. You can now potentially lose 2.5% of your money to inflation if it sits, you can invest it to combat inflation, or lets say you buy the house as your primary. So now you have to ask if your house is appreciating more than inflation (2.5%) + property tax = 10k/year.
So the question is, does the house need to appreciated in order for it to be a sound investment?
Now lets add the renting factor + squareft factor.
Renting a 2 bedroom house at 1100 sqft in these areas will be about 1200/month. (14.4k/year)
If you go 4 bedrooms and 2500 squareft, then rent is around 1900. (22.8k/year)
So if we are comparing apples to apples, it will cost you 14.25k/year (this 14.25k is money not going toward equilty, it is money you are throwing away) for a house@ 2500 sqft, and 22.8k/year for a rented house @ 2500 sqft.
At the end, you wasted $8550 less if you went with the house @0 down..of course this is assumes nothing breaks in the house and your house didn't appreciate.
This means your money appreciated by 3.4%/year compare to renting. Your money also appreciated by 5.12% if you paid cash compared to renting. This DOESN't EVEN ACCOUNT FOR TRUE APPRECIATION OF THE HOUSE!
If someone can check my math and my through process...
From where I am standing, a house is a better investment for shelter compared to no house.
Lets say we are talking about a 250k house@ 2500 squareft.
Lets assume you have either 0 Down or Pay in Cash.
If 0 Down, Is your house appreciating more than interest rate (3.8%) + property tax(usually 1.5%)/year? Inflation is NOT a factor because you have no money to be inflated. The number here is 13.25k/year (add another 3k due to PMI). Subtract 2k thanks to tax return benefits. (Total is 14.25k)
If you have 250k in hand, then it's a different problem. You can now potentially lose 2.5% of your money to inflation if it sits, you can invest it to combat inflation, or lets say you buy the house as your primary. So now you have to ask if your house is appreciating more than inflation (2.5%) + property tax = 10k/year.
So the question is, does the house need to appreciated in order for it to be a sound investment?
Now lets add the renting factor + squareft factor.
Renting a 2 bedroom house at 1100 sqft in these areas will be about 1200/month. (14.4k/year)
If you go 4 bedrooms and 2500 squareft, then rent is around 1900. (22.8k/year)
So if we are comparing apples to apples, it will cost you 14.25k/year (this 14.25k is money not going toward equilty, it is money you are throwing away) for a house@ 2500 sqft, and 22.8k/year for a rented house @ 2500 sqft.
At the end, you wasted $8550 less if you went with the house @0 down..of course this is assumes nothing breaks in the house and your house didn't appreciate.
This means your money appreciated by 3.4%/year compare to renting. Your money also appreciated by 5.12% if you paid cash compared to renting. This DOESN't EVEN ACCOUNT FOR TRUE APPRECIATION OF THE HOUSE!
If someone can check my math and my through process...
From where I am standing, a house is a better investment for shelter compared to no house.
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