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Picking Stocks like Gambling?

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  • #16
    Re: Picking Stocks like Gambling?

    Mutual Fund is good for people who have little care or time to learn about the stock market and want to pay someone anywhere between 0.50% to 2+% fees. But most fund managers underperform the market averages. On the other hand, you get instant diversified portfolio. If you put in some effort to learn about the market, you can outperform most mutual funds.

    It is very difficult for mutual fund managers to beat the market by design. They get a huge inflow of funds at the top of the market. Most investors wait to see market rising before adding additional capital, or investing. Almost always, that is the top of the market. Mutual funds must invest all the incoming cash as their mandate allows only certain percentage to be held as cash. Also, mutual funds cannot short, so fund manager must buy overpriced securities.

    On the downside, things work reverse. When investors see market declining, they start liquidating mutual fund positions. Inevitably, mutual fund manager must sell securities to meet the redemptions. Many times, these are times when assets are cheaply priced and should be purchased. Then, fund manager takes his cut of fees, further reducing returns for investor.

    Indexing has been popular of late because so fund managers' inability to keep up with the market due to above limitations. However, problem with indexing is that by nature, index contains good investments along with bad investments to show market averages. By selecting just good companies with solid fundamentals, anyone can create a portfolio that will beat any market averages long term.

    About only time I use mutual fund is when I invest overseas and cannot purchase directly, or direct purchases would be too expensive. Up until few years ago, brokerage commission was prohibitively expensive for individuals but with discount brokerages, this barrier is eliminated.

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    • #17
      Re: Picking Stocks like Gambling?

      Originally posted by WellManicuredMan
      If you are only going to be conservative and don't gain or lose a lot, then wouldn't it be easier to buy an index fund or one of those life cycle / target retirement funds from T Rowe. Price, Vanguard, and Fidelity? I really like Vanguard's Target 2045 fund.

      According to most finanacial advisors, at my age my portfolio should consist of at least 50% stock and 50% fixed income investments. My portfolio contains less than 20% stocks. Again, I am very nervous about the stock market and believe in taking my time. I don't expect to, but if I lose every cent I have invested in the stock market, I'm still going to retire on time. If you are ahead of the game you can "go on like a turtle."

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      • #18
        Re: Picking Stocks like Gambling?

        Duchess,

        You are doing fine. Financial advisor's role is to sell products to you and churning stocks make them more money than fixed income products. Everyone has different risk tolerance and it's always better to sleep well at nights than make (or lose) few extra bucks short term. You have the right investment approach -- you are in it for a long haul.

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