Market Predictions

[Nobulladvisor]

Where do you think that market ( S&P or Dow )will be by the end of the year?

[bjl584]

Probably close to where it is now. A few hundred points higher or lower either way. It depends on whether or not we avoid a Government shutdown and what happens in Europe. But, I think a lot of the bad news is already priced in, so we probably won't get much movement the rest of 2011.

[JoshuaHeckathorn]

I agree with Brian - not much movement either way by 12/31. But who really knows these days?

[97guns]

the rubber band and bubble gum will hold untill after christmas, after that when's thing's start unravelling. mark my word's, bring this thread back up in febuary.

[GREENBACK]

I'll just go ahead and say 13000. Who knows. I'm an optimist so why not look at the positives which are good when Europe and our own goverment gets out of the way.

[SeanH]

If you were 100% certain that Italy is going down and taking the EU and the states with it - what would you do? What would be safe or what would be smart?

[Nobulladvisor]

I'll just go ahead and say 13000. Who knows..

1000 point move in a month. Its happend before. i could happend again. I hope you are right

[snafu]

None of us has an accurate crystal ball. Depends on truths. Will holiday spending continue upward? Is the decrease in unemployment seasonal, factual or merely due to expired benefits? Will the politicians stop silly games and get real to benefit the country they purport to love? Will Bernanke fling out QE 3, will bankers finally get on board and work with folks to avoid yet another tranche of foreclosures?

Safe investment? I'd bet on Brazil! They have the natural resources and an educated workforce, good combination. Those people care about their countries and are willing to do the work to pull themselves up by their bootstraps. The poor in the barrio will do whatever is necessary to feed their children.

[GREENBACK]

Congress is about to take a vacation (thank god!). Europe is temporarily stable and I guess the 2 month extension on the tax cuts is a go. Is it time for the end of the year rally?

[jadet]

It'll stay the same

[Kooshiball]

I can't predict the number and time flame as to how much DOW and S&P price will be but I can say that nominal value of these indices are not really matter because Bernanke can print money out of thin air. So, if there will be another QE (Probably, he won't call it but something fancy name but Bernanke do pretty much the same thing: print), nominal value of stock indices will go up simply because value of the currency will be coming down.

I personally expect there will be another Lehman moment sometime early next year. Italy, Ireland and Spain are verge of collapse and once this event happens, all the derivatives (all the credit default swaps) will explode. This will hit US financial system in big time. When it happens, Bernanke will print. That's only he knows...