Market is up over 300 points at the moment. Not a bad way to start the 2nd quarter. I hope this is a sign of things to come, but I suspect we'll just keep going on the volatility rollercoaster we've been on for a while now.
Logging in...
Good start to 2nd quarter on Wall St.
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Yeah, but it'll probably drop 400 points tomorrow if recent history is any guide. Besides, when I retire in 20 years what the market did yesterday or today or tomorrow really won't have any bearing on the final outcome.Originally posted by sweeps View PostSteve, I'm actually bummed about the the boost today... I want stocks to stay depressed longer
But I am happy that my monthly contribution went in yesterday and not today.Steve
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Well it has some bearing.Originally posted by disneysteve View Postwhat the market did yesterday or today or tomorrow really won't have any bearing on the final outcome.
If I only buy in at local highs, I will have less in the long run than if I buy at local lows. 30 years from now those differences will add up.
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Originally posted by sweeps View PostWell it has some bearing.
If I only buy in at local highs, I will have less in the long run than if I buy at local lows. 30 years from now those differences will add up.
This is true... I am considering a 401k self directed brokerage strategy where 25-33% of my money is invested more aggressively.
One of funds I will use is ULPIX (Ultrabull) which is 2X daily return of S&P 500. My thought is I do NOT want to lump sum into this fund.
So I will have ~40k in brokerage. ULPIX would be 15% of this based on my asset allocation (15% of 40k is $6000). So maybe I invest 12 times ($500 each month) based on where the market is relative to last quarters performance (try to buy at a relative low).
The issue is then I have all 6k invested by end of year, and then would not be able to average in again the next year (because contributions are only 7-8k, so 15% of that is $1200 for whole year.
Volatility creates opportunities for higher returns, if you have the cash to get in at the lows.
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Sweeps, I just quit my job and am relocating my family (check my blog). Thus, I prefer to stay liquid in the event that I need to tap these Roth funds if for some reason my EF runs out. If I were to jump in and then out, I'm afraid any gains would be eaten up by the trading costs. I continue to participate fully in the market through my 401k (at least until my last day 4/18 :-)Originally posted by sweeps View PostSlug, you'll miss out if you're sitting on the sideline.
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I rebalance my portfolio last week, moving into the S&P 500.
I have also started getting into financials and am starting to look at REITs. I think the REITs have also bottomed out. Good luck. There will probably be another couple hundred point down day this week to retest the buying but I think the general trend is up.
From a technicla side, my support levels have held and the trend has turned short term.
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