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Old 09-09-2006, 03:36 PM
PrincessPerky PrincessPerky is offline
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Default Re: Stupid things people thought about Finance

Quote:
Case 1 - I choose the loser. Door 2 has a goat. Door 3 has the car. A goat is revealed. I switch, and that's the right choice.
Case 2 - I choose the goat. Door 2 has a car. Door 3 has a goat. A goat is revealed. I switch, and that's the right choice.
Case three - I choose the car. Door 2 has a goat. Door 3 has a goat. A goat is revealed. I switch, and that's the wrong choice.

K I don't get the choices? all the extra stuff confuses me (hence why I supplied the money one, all the talk confuses people)

path one: chose loser1, reveal loser, stay, lose
path two: chose loser1, reveal loser, switch, win

path three: chose loser2, reveal loser, stay, lose
Path four: chose loser2, reveal loser, switch, win

path five: chose winner, reveal loser, stay, win
path six: choose winner, reveal loser, switch, lose

AH HAH! I get it, those paths are all the options, but if you only look at switch, out of three switch paths, 2 are wins! (there are 6 paths though, and half win)

because you had a 2/3 chance of losing the first time, so it is a box in a box....

If the switch was random, it would be 50/50 chance though (like if a computer made the choice to switch or stay)

K I get it..no time to look at 1/100 right now, but I get the 1/3 one.
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